Over-unders: How many AFL coaches get sacked in 2026?
SEN • November 28th, 2025 10:38 am

Sam Edmund and Adam Cooney engaged in a monster session of Over-Unders on SEN Breakfast.
The duo covered everything from how many AFL coaches will be sacked in 2026, how many points will secure you a Brownlow medal and how many players will kick more than 50 goals?
Some big statements were made.
How many coaches will be sacked in 2026?
LINE: 2
Edmund: “I’m more inclined to go over two. Think about it; Michael Voss is under obvious heat. Alastair Clarkson is under a fair bit of pressure at North.
“Luke Beveridge is seemingly always under pressure and I think Justin Longmuir with that bizarre rolling contract, they would want to have a good year.”
Brownlow winning votes
Line: 38.5
Cooney: “That’s large. I’ll say under, I think we have to get a handle on this. Nick Daicos is always mid 30s and someone always comes and pips him in the end.
“Will he end up winning one? I say unders and it will be low 30s. It will be more competitive. There will be a slight correction. Nick should hopefully win it.
“I think the time has past for Marcus Bontempelli to win one which is devastating. How much better could he have been? No more deserving player.”
Edmund: “I tend to agree I think there will be a shift. If you’re a neutral and you’re being honest you with yourself, you would love to see him get one and round out the resume with a Brownlow.”
North Melbourne wins
Line: 7.5
Edmund: “I you’re being generous; they will get five wins this year and a draw. They need north of eight or Clarkson is definitely gone in 2026 some people would say. They are under pressure there. They have to make a step forward, not a seismic one.”
Cooney: “I don’t think eight wins will be enough for him to keep his job; they need double figures.”
West Coast wins
Line: 3.5
Cooney: “That’s triple the wins they got this year! I’m going to say under. They will win three games which will be a good improvement I think Reid will have a breakout season. There’s more depth coming to help him so they will be a better side. Duursma will come in and have an impact straight away.”
Clayton Oliver disposals
Line: 600
Edmund: “789 is his best season. Over. He goes over. I’ve seen some early vision and photos. With Kelly missing, he is coming straight in to do a job, and he is motivated and hungry to prove some people wrong. That can be powerful with a chip on your shoulder.
"I’m backing him to get back to it, not his best but he can go north of 600.”
The Wizard - Nick Watson goals
Line: 40
Cooney: “I don’t know if he stagnates, 40 goals is elite from a small. I’m going to say under. He kicks 35 but has a pretty good year. I think it will be tougher for him this year. The combo of him and Ginnivan, I think he will have a similar season to this year.”
Sam Darcy v Charlie Curnow, who kicks more goals?
Edmund: “Curnow to kick more goals, more than Darcy, maybe more than everyone. Coleman Curnow. Fit healthy and happy with some silver service at the SCG, I can see him winning the Coleman. 75 goals plus with a couple of finals. Easy one for me.”
How many players will kick more than 50 goals?
Line: 7
Cooney: “10 plus players will kick 50 or more. Hogan can, Thilthorpe, Darcy, Jezza, both Kinga, Morris, Allen, Larkey, Curnow, McKay. They can all kick 50.”

