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The Field of Dreams comp is back!Bills vs Vikings betting preview: Does Buffalo have the answer for Minnesota?
Jaxin Daniels • November 9th, 2026 4:00 pm
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen | Photo: Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire
The Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings are both 6-1 heading into Monday Night Football, setting up a clash between the NFL’s top-scoring offence and its stingiest scoring defence.
Buffalo is averaging 33.3 points per game, while Minnesota is allowing just 13.3. The Bills beat Baltimore 36-10 last week while the Vikings suffered their first defeat of the season, going down 19-15 to Detroit.
Minnesota are starting backup quarterback Carson Wentz, with their usual starter Kyler Murray ruled out due to a hamstring injury.
The game kicks off in Minneapolis at 2.15pm on Tuesday (NZ Time).
Buffalo has the league’s top-scoring offence and has scored at least 30 points in five of its first seven games.
Minnesota’s defence is an imposing test, but the Bills arrive on a three-game winning streak, playing against a team forced to start their backup QB, and have the form to cover a short spread.
Jefferson is one of the league's top receivers but hasn't had his normal elite production this season. Part of the problem is quarterback play, the other is the defence being so dominant that the Vikings haven't had to pass the ball.
In a game against the highest scoring offence in the NFL, the Vikings will need to throw the ball more if they want to keep up.
With Carson Wentz coming out in the media this week saying, "I want to get him the rock as much as anybody," you can expect to see a lot of targets going Jefferson's way.
The Bills allow the fourth most yards to the tight end position per game, and Wentz loves targeting the position.
Similar to Jefferson, the Vikings will need to throw more than usual, putting Hockenson in an even better position to excel.
The Vikings defense may be top in terms of points allowed per game this season, with their run defense being the only thing that remotely has question marks around it, conceding big numbers on the ground when playing elite running backs like Cook.
The 2025 rushing yard leader is averaging 101 yards per game on the ground this year, and is always capable of breaking a big run at any time. For these reasons, the number is definitely intriguing.
The Vikings defense has been immense against opposing tight ends this season, especially when a team has a great run game to lean on, like the Bills do.
Kincaid's production has been up and down all year, and is always capable of a big play when Josh Allen is your quarterback, so favour the under on receptions rather than yards.
Betcha Boost:
- Justin Jefferson to have 100+ receiving yards & 1+ TD at 5.50 (was 4.83)
- James Cook 100+ rushing yards & Josh Allen anytime touchdown scorer at 5.50 (was 4.90)
Same Game Multi:
For punters looking for a bigger-price play, take a look at the following multi, which can be played with a Super SGM Cover on Betcha.
- Buffalo Bills head to head
- Justin Jefferson 6+ receptions
- T.J. Hockenson 30+ receiving yards
- James Cook 70+ rushing yards
- Justin Jefferson/T.J. Hockenson 1+ TD combined
- James Cook/Josh Allen 1+ TD combined
COMBINED ODDS: 8.72
Touchdown picks:
- Josh Allen anytime touchdown at 1.83
Allen has nine rushing touchdowns this season and remains an a massive threat near the goal line.
- T.J. Hockenson anytime touchdown at 3.10
Hockenson will be a focal point in this Vikings offence and will be important in the red zone for his quarterback who is most comfortable when targeting tight ends.
- Jackson Hawes anytime touchdown at 13.00
This is a bit of a speculator but hear me out. Hawes is always in the game when the Bills get close to the goal line, usually as a blocker, but how many times have we seen random third string players score off a play action? The answer is a lot, Hawes is due, and you want to be here for it.
All betcha odds are current at the time of publishing - R18, please gamble responsibly.
