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How to tune into Sport Nation“Just wins”: Form analysts targeting two key runners at Randwick on Saturday
SENTrack • February 28th, 2025 10:07 am
Form analysts Mick Gannon and Dean Watling have a few horses they are gravitating towards at Randwick on Saturday.
Gannon is siding with the Allan Kehoe-trained Shaggy in the Group 2 Skyline Stakes (1200m), while Watling feels there is some value in the form of debutant Nielsen Park for Anthony & Sam Freedman,.
“I think Shaggy just wins this race,” Gannon said on SENTrack’s Giddy Up.
“His performance was enormous. He was out of favour with the punters, SP’d around $7.50.
“He’s right in Slipper contention. The map is favourable, he’ll be right out in front.
“He was racing on ground that was slightly inferior so I still think he’s got a bit to come. He’s fourth-up here now, and this would be a career peak run for him I’d imagine.
“I think he wins and is clearly the best bet of the day.
“And just a little something on Nielsen Park.”
Shaggy, who will be ridden by Adam Hyeronimus, is currently rated the $2.25 favourite with Sportsbet for the Skyline.
Watling outlined why he believes Nielsen Park can run a nice race at big odds.
“Shaggy deserves to be favourite,” said Watling
“But I’ve landed on Nielsen Park. This horse is a ridiculous price at $41.
“Good jump out, a really nice recent trial. Ridiculous odds and you can have a small, tiny spec on that horse.”
Nielsen Park is currently priced at $35/$7 for Race 4 at Randwick.
Watling is also keen to be with Amelia’s Jewel in the Group 2 Guy Walter Stakes (1400m).
James McDonald rides the Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald-trained mare who resumes and owns a great first-up record (6:4-2-0).
“One of the best placed horses in the country on Saturday,” Watling said.
“Amelia’s Jewel picks herself. They’ve figured her out now, first-up over 1400m, two really sharp trials, gets James aboard, I don’t think the gate matters too much when you’ve got James on.
“That first-up effort behind Royal Patronage stacks up really well throughout the spring. I would not be surprised if she starts sub $2.
“She’s my best bet of the day.”
Gannon added: “I think she’s the class horse in the race.
“It’s her race to win.”
Amelia’s Jewel is the $2.30 favourite for the Guy Walter (Race 6) on Saturday.
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