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Live sport on SN this weekendNFL Playoffs: Player props to watch for Championship Round
Jaxin Daniels • January 25th, 2026 6:00 am
LA Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford | Photo: AP
Who's going to punch their ticket to the Super Bowl, and which players are going to step up?
The AFC/NFC Championship Round is here - let's take a look at how the odds stack up on betcha.
The No. 1 seed Broncos take on the No. 2 seed Patriots in what could’ve been a game for the ages in the American Football Conference championship decider.
Unfortunately for Broncos fans, after the overtime win against the Buffalo Bills last week, the news of star quarterback Bo Nix’s broken ankle turned the Championship game on it’s head.
With no Bo Nix (barring a miracle), the Broncos turn to backup QB Jarrett Stidham, who was originally drafted by the Patriots in 2019 as Tom Brady’s successor, however, he has only started four games in his seven year career.
The Patriots come to Denver after rolling through the Chargers and Texans, who didn’t put up much of a fight, and now face a stellar Broncos defense who will be hungry to help their Quarterback in career start five, which just so happens to be the the AFC Championship.
Player Props:
- Mack Hollins OVER 15.5 Receiving Yards (1.88)
Mack Hollins returns to the Patriots lineup after missing the last four games with an abdomen injury. The way Hollins is utilised in this offense means he doesn’t need to play every snap, and if he is ramping back into things, he still has the ability to go over this number in just one catch. If you aren’t feeling too confident, bring the yards down to 10+ Receiving yards (1.52).
- Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 2.5 Receptions (1.75)
In what was a relatively straight forward couple of games for the Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson got his fair share of work in the receiving game, totalling three and four catches in the last two games. The line stayed the same this time around and I expect similar work through the air for Stevenson.
- Drake Maye 20+ Rushing Yards (1.30)
With the Broncos leading the league in Quarterback pressures this season, Drake Maye might find himself needing to abandon ship a bit more. Last week, Maye stood firm in the pocket when facing the immense pass rush of the Houston Texans, fumbling the ball four times. I think this week instead of doing the same thing, Maye will head out of the pocket when he senses pressure, and after Josh Allen rushed for 66 yards on the Broncos last week, it seems like a good path to follow. Take his line OVER 30.5 Rushing Yards if you’re feeling risky (1.88).
- Pat Bryant 30+ Receiving Yards (1.64)
The rookie Wide Receiver exited the game in the first quarter last week with a concussion, but not before he brought in three catches for 32 yards on the Broncos opening drive. We’re not sure what kind of connection Quarterback Jarrett Stidham will have with his receivers, but with Bryant really breaking through as the season goes on, Sean Payton would be silly not to look to get his young playmaker the ball.
- RJ Harvey OVER 61.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (1.90)
The rookie Running Back takes command of the backfield once again, being heavily involved in the running and passing game. With backup Quarterback Jarrett Stidham starting in his fifth career game, I can see Harvey being involved early and often to get the seven-year player into a rhythm.
- Courtland 4+ Receptions (1.50)
The Broncos project to fall behind in this contest, meaning they will need to throw to stay in touch with the Patriots offense. Jarrett Stidham should look to find the most reliable target in the offense, and a steady 4+ receptions should be well within the realm of possibilities.
COMBINED MULTI = 23.00
Long Shots:
- Mack Hollins Anytime Touchdown (5.25)
- Jarrett Stidham 2/3+ Interceptions (3.50/10.50)
- Patriots D/ST 2+ Touchdowns (41.00)
- Nate Adkins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (17.00)
- Courtland Sutton 8+ Receptions (9.75)
- RJ Harvey 6+ Receptions (6.40)
What many called the ‘Greatest Game of the Season’ gets another chance to impress, this time with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
The Rams come off a nail-biting overtime win in freezing Chicago to send themselves back to the West Coast to face their divisional rival, and top seed, the Seattle Seahawks for the NFC crown.
The Seahawks laid waste to their other rivals when the San Francisco 49ers came to town and got beaten 41-6, but this matchup looks a lot juicier.
Meeting just over a month ago in Seattle, the two teams put on a 75-point overtime thriller where the Seahawks got the better of the Rams with a two-point conversion to finish 38-37, and cement themselves as the #1 seed in the NFC.
That game really paid off in the long run as the Seattle team get to play host to the Rams, who have had to do things the hard way, travelling East to Carolina and back, before heading back over to Chicago.
Now back on the West Coast, the Rams have a more manageable trip to Seattle, where the atmosphere will be on another level.
Player Props:
- Kyren Williams OVER 53.5 Rushing Yards (1.88)
Kyren Williams has hit this number in all but two games this season, and both games against the Seahawks. Williams really carried the offense in treacherous conditions last week and I’m sure they’ll lean on him once again if they want to get throught this formidable defense.
- Blake Corum/Kyren Williams to have 80+ Rushing Yards Combined (1.73)
These two combined for this number last week and in both games against the Seahawks this season. For all the reasons listed in the previous section, I love this line too. And if I was feeling even riskier, I’d go up to 100+ Rushing Yardw Combined (2.85).
- Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown Scorer (1.62)
After Zach Charbonnet left the field last week with a torn ACL, Kenneth Walker took over the backfield, scoring three touchdowns after his departure. He will have majority of the running back work yet again and can see him punching one in for the Seahawks.
- Kenneth Walker III OVER 109.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (1.90)
Walker will be getting all the valuable running back touches in a game that could end in a shootout like it did earlier in the season. He has gone over this number in both games this season against the Rams with Zach Charbonnet healthy, including 164 rushing + receiving yards on 14 touches in their latest meeting. Without Charbonnet, I see him getting 15+ touches, making this number very obtainable.
- Puka Nacua 7+ Receptions (1.44)
After a lackluster showing against the Bears in suboptimal conditions, I expect a major bounce back game for Nacua, who has reached 7+ catches both times against the Seahawks, hauling in 12 in their last encounter. If the Rams want a shot at going to the Super Bowl, they need to feed Puka.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba 6+ Receptions (1.42)
The league leader in receiving yards, JSN, has slowed down these past two weeks, mainly because the Seahawks had dominated so thoroughly that he hasn’t been needed. In what could be another shootout, I see JSN getting back to dominating and his line of 6.5+ receptions is disrespectful, so feel free to play that as well (1.83).
- Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (2.25)
Davante Adams has not been his dominant red zone self since returning from injury, but the veteran needs to be firing if he wants to take a trip to his first career Super Bowl. In his only game against the Seahawks this season, he hauled in a singular catch for a 1-yard touchdown. Look for Matthew Stafford to try and reignite the league leading touchdown connection this week.
COMBINED MULTI = 22.65
Long shots:
- Kenneth Walker III 2+ Touchdowns (4.40)
- Kenneth Walker III 50+ Receiving Yards (4.80)
- Seahawks D/ST 2+ Touchdowns (81.00)
- Puka Nacua 12+ Receptions (7.75)
- Matthew Stafford 3+ Passing Touchdowns (3.35)
- Davante Adams 2+ Touchdowns (10.00)
All betcha odds are current at the time of publishing - R18, please gamble responsibly.
