π» IMPORTANT AUCKLAND UPDATE π»
Ownerβs favourable and brutal Melbourne Cup calls
SENΒ β’ Β November 3rd, 2025 2:19 pm

Prominent owner John OβNeill has run the rule over the 2025 Melbourne Cup field.
OβNeill has a trio of horses in the great two-mile handicap - Valiant King, Buckaroo and Middle Earth - who he all gives some chance to.
But there are plenty, in his opinion, that cannot win for various reasons.
βI think itβs an unbelievable race, but I think thereβs (at least) 15 horses that canβt win,β OβNeill said on SEN & RSNβs Monday Means Test.
OβNeillβs runner-by-runner analysis:
1 - AL RIFFA - βI donβt think Al Riffa with 59kg drawn out there (barrier 19) can win. I donβt think heβs got any hope at all.β β
2 - BUCKAROO - βI think Buckaroo can win, drawn a good gate (12).β β
3 - ARAPAHO - βArapaho shouldnβt even be there. Sorry to be rude to the owners.β β
4 - VAUBAN - βVauban isnβt going good enough.β β
5 - CHEVALIER ROSE - βChevalier Rose is a dry tracker.β β
6 - PRESAGE NOCTURNE - βWe all want to be on this. Itβs a very nice horse. Bu the jockey Stephane Pasquier wouldnβt know to get from Crown Casino to Chin Chin, so howβs he going to get around Flemington on a wet track with 23 other horses around him on a wet track. Heβs a great horse who can run top five but he canβt win.β 5οΈβ£
7 - MDDLE EARTH - βBlinkers on, wet track, 3200 - heβs done what heβs needed. Donβt be surprisedβ¦β π€·π»ββοΈ
8 - MEYDAAN - βStop it, canβt win from the barrier (22).β β
9 - ABSURDE - βNo thanks.β β
10 - FLATTEN THE CURVE - βPlease, no.β β
11 - LAND LEGEND - βLand Legend shouldnβt be in the race.β β
12 - SMOKINβ ROMANS - βNine years old, no.β β
13 - CHANGINGOFTHEGUARD - βNo.β β
14 - HALF YOURS - βGreat top five chance.β 5οΈβ£
15 - MORE FELONS - βMore Felons shouldnβt be in the race.β β
16 - ONESMOOTHOPERATOR - βCan win a Perth Cup or an Adelaide Cup, but canβt win a Melbourne Cup.β β
17 - FURTHUR - βHeβs a very nice staying horse, normally runs in fields of four. So weβll, see how it goes with 24.β π€·π»ββοΈ
18 - PARCHMENT PARTY - βWell, thereβll be a partyβ¦ no hope.β β
19 - ATHABASCAN - βAthabascan shouldnβt be there.β β
20 - GOODIE TWO SHOES - βShould be on Broadway.β β
21 - RIVER OF STARS - βCan definitely run top four.β 4οΈβ£
22 - ROYAL SUPREMACY - βCan run top five.β 5οΈβ£
23 - TORRANZINO - βCan run top five or six. Nice horse.β 5οΈβ£
24 - VALIANT KING - βI think Valiant King, with the weight (51kg), can win the race.β β
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